Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 1.424389 1.622582 1.838215 2.090236 2.376722 2.692293 3.066343
2025-11-16 1.111927 1.380561 1.698442 2.102333 2.602008 3.200206 3.971345
2025-11-23 0.945619 1.246324 1.623482 2.131263 2.797405 3.642226 4.796501
2025-11-30 0.814288 1.127125 1.538682 2.119737 2.919555 3.982992 5.506918
2025-12-07 0.704490 1.017550 1.446829 2.078442 2.984921 4.240636 6.116160
2025-12-14 0.612106 0.918505 1.354552 2.020307 3.012213 4.437692 6.647243
2025-12-21 0.546094 0.848539 1.293818 1.997054 3.081239 4.692510 7.276144
2025-12-28 0.514273 0.825318 1.297870 2.067907 3.293234 5.171680 8.279670
2026-01-04 0.464686 0.768666 1.244284 2.042402 3.350636 5.415385 8.933532
2026-01-11 0.438095 0.745646 1.240381 2.093848 3.532419 5.865913 9.953558
2026-01-18 0.405579 0.709267 1.210826 2.099092 3.636561 6.196190 10.799401
2026-01-25 0.374597 0.672250 1.176353 2.091787 3.716885 6.490363 11.604833
2026-02-01 0.334957 0.619390 1.115325 2.042449 3.737229 6.713885 12.364737
2026-02-08 0.308119 0.587249 1.088439 2.053238 3.869796 7.154094 13.574305
2026-02-15 0.287014 0.563022 1.072667 2.081527 4.035316 7.666567 14.965961
2026-02-22 0.263180 0.530756 1.038287 2.070269 4.123625 8.042361 16.133607
2026-03-01 0.238623 0.494235 0.991782 2.029936 4.150077 8.300777 17.095018
2026-03-08 0.215061 0.457054 0.940004 1.973154 4.136805 8.478247 17.908663
2026-03-15 0.197610 0.430550 0.906789 1.950442 4.189837 8.791382 19.030294
2026-03-22 0.190679 0.425559 0.917094 2.019646 4.441593 9.533842 21.131121
2026-03-29 0.175813 0.401684 0.885223 1.994734 4.488326 9.849779 22.339827
2026-04-05 0.168624 0.394106 0.887556 2.044983 4.704523 10.548012 24.462997
2026-04-12 0.158403 0.378516 0.870671 2.050105 4.819418 11.034063 26.153091